
With greater than 61 million Catholics and the second-highest variety of cardinals after Italy, the USA is keyed for the concern of whether an American pontiff is feasible following Pope Francis’ fatality on Monday.
Francis, a Jesuit from Argentina that passed away in the very early hours of Monday at age 88, after 12 years as leader of the Roman Catholic Church, was the initial non-European pope in almost 1,300 years.
The USA has 17 cardinals, 10 of whom are qualified to enact the political election of the following pope, according to the Vatican. The nation with one of the most cardinals is Italy, which has 51, consisting of 17 qualified to choose the following pontiff, according to the Vatican.
The USA has 61.9 million Catholics, standing for around 19% of the overall populace, according to one of the most current U.S. Religion Census performed in 2020 by the Organization of Statisticians of American Religious Bodies.
Despite The Fact That the united state has among the biggest Catholic populaces on the planet, some specialists informed ABC Information that the chance of the following pontiff originating from America is a slim chance.

Sanctuary personnel established a photo of Pope Francis inside The Metropolitan Sanctuary of one of the most Valuable Blood, informally referred to as Westminster Sanctuary, in main London, April 21, 2025, complying with the information of his fatality.
Henry Nicholls/AFP using Getty Photos
Anne Barrett Doyle, co-director of BishopAccountability.org, a guard dog team that tracks clergy youngster misuse instances in the Catholic Church worldwide, informed ABC Information that if an American were chosen as pope, maybe regarded as “frustrating,” offered the USA’ international prominence currently.
” If the Catholic Church were additionally run by an American, the international prominence of the united state would certainly be just prevalent and frustrating,” Barrett Doyle.
Technically, any type of male baptized in the Catholic Church can end up being pope, according to the Vatican. Yet popes are normally selected from the University of Cardinals. Just cardinals under the age of 80 are enabled to join choosing a pope.
Cristina Traina, a spiritual research studies teacher at Fordham College, informed ABC Information that numerous united state cardinals have actually been drifted as feasible followers to Francis.
” I believe it’s not likely due to the fact that the American church is viewed as controversial presently,” Traina stated of the possibility of an American being selected as the following pope. “So, I believe they are far more most likely to go either for a European or a person from the international south or Asia.”
Traina, nevertheless, stated Cardinal Joseph Tobin, the archbishop of the Archdiocese of Newark, New Jacket considering that 2017, has actually become a feasible prospect.

A religious woman holds a photo of Pope Francis near St Peter’s square, after the fatality of Pope Francis was revealed by the Vatican, as seen from Rome, Italy, April 21, 2025.
Guglielmo Mangiapane/Reuters
The 73-year-old Tobin was called by Pope Francis to the University of Cardinals in 2016 to function as the Archbishop of Indianapolis, after Pope Benedict XVI assigned him in 2012, according to his biography on the New Jacket Catholic Meeting internet site.
Tobin formerly offered in numerous placements in the Catholic Church, consisting of priest of St. Alphonsus Church in Chicago and General Consultor of the Area of Rome and Superior General of Redemptorists in Rome, according to his bio.
In a declaration launched Monday on the passing away of Pope Francis, Tobin stated, “He was a guy of deep belief, extensive humbleness, impregnable hope– a servant whose determined phone call to take care of the bad and marginalized will certainly remain to motivate the Church for generations to find.”

Ivanka Trump, initial woman Melania Trump, and Head of state Donald Trump stand with Pope Francis throughout a conference, Might 24, 2017, at the Vatican.
Evan Vucci/AP
An additional American cardinal that has actually been discussed as a feasible follower to Francis is Cardinal Robert Prevost. The 69-year-old Chicago-born Prevost was the only united state cardinal consisted of on a shot checklist of front-runners for pope, additionally referred to as “papabiles,” assembled in the after-effects of Francis’ fatality by the Associated Press
Given That 2023, Prevost has actually held the setting at the Vatican as Prefect of the Dicastery for Diocesans, accountable of vetting elections for diocesans all over the world, according to his account on the Vatican Press Workplace internet site. Francis brought Prevost to operate at the Vatican after initial selecting him in 2014 to function as the diocesan of Chiclayo, Peru. Prevost is additionally head of state of the Pontifical Compensation for Latin America.
Dr. Miles Pattenden, a chronicler of the Catholic Church and a speaker of background at Oxford College in England, additionally informed ABC Information that the possibility of an American pope this time around about is “extremely not likely.”
Pattenden kept in mind that Pope Francis had a background of encountering the Trump management– returning to Trump’s initial term in workplace, when he slammed structure of U.S.-Mexico boundary wall surface, claiming, “An individual that thinks of constructing wall surfaces, anywhere they might be, and not constructing bridges, is not Christian.”

Ivanka Trump, initial woman Melania Trump, and Head of state Donald Trump stand with Pope Francis throughout a conference, Might 24, 2017, at the Vatican.
Evan Vucci/AP
In a public letter to united state Catholic diocesans in February, Pope Francis explained the mass expulsion suppression bought by Head of state Donald Trump’s management as a “significant dilemma.”
” There has actually generally been a great deal of wariness concerning a pope from the Anglosphere,” Pattenden stated. “I should not believe that the existing scenarios alter that, specifically currently with the stress in between the Vatican and the Trump management.”
Trump stated on Monday that he and initial woman Melania Trump strategy to take a trip to Rome to go to Pope Francis’ funeral service.
” I simply authorized an exec order placing the flags of our nation, every one of them, all government flags, and state flags, at half-mast in honor of Pope Francis,” Trump stated at the White Home. “So, he was an excellent male. Worked difficult. He– he enjoyed the globe.”