
The inquiry impending on numerous minds worldwide complying with the fatality of Pope Francis on Monday is that will certainly end up being the following leader of the Roman Catholic Church.
The option procedure will certainly start when all cardinals under the age of 80 that are qualified to get involved are mobilized to Rome to get ready for the secret conclave inside the Sistine Church to select the following pontiff. This celebration normally starts in between 15 to 20 days after the pope’s fatality.

A lady pays areas before a picture of the late Pope Francis outside the Caacupe Church in Buenos Aires, April 21, 2025.
Juan Mabromata/AFP by means of Getty Photos
While the internal operations of the conclave and just how the team inevitably picks a brand-new pontiff continue to be a trick, specialists are still considering in on that can be the most likely front-runners for the papacy.
Francis, that was a dynamic leader of the church, had actually assigned approximately 80% of the cardinals that are qualified to elect the brand-new pope, according to Miles Pattenden, chronicler of the Catholic Church at Oxford College. Yet, Pattenden informed ABC Information that does not imply the following pontiff will straight mirror the very same worths as Francis.
” It’s a blunder to think about [Francis’ cardinals] as one uniform block. Not every one of them will certainly have shared Francis’ sights,” Pattenden informed ABC Information. “A few of them will certainly have been open concerning that. He assigned them since they stood for vital locations or intrigues in the church that he assumed ought to be stood for. Various other ones perhaps weren’t attuned to every one of Francis’ sights, however maintained peaceful concerning it. Currently he disappears, we will certainly see where their real placements are.”
Any kind of baptized Catholic man is qualified to take Francis’ location, however Pattenden stated Pietro Parolin, the cardinal assistant of state, and Luis Tagle, the archbishop of Manila in the Philippines, are the primary front-runners.

Vatican Assistant of State Cardinal Pietro Parolin grins as he rates by German Head of state Frank-Walter Steinmeier for a conference at the Bellevue royal residence in Berlin, Germany, June 29, 2021.
Michael Sohn/AP
Parolin, that “looks significantly theoretically like he ought to be the noticeable connection prospect,” has actually been the assistant of state because August 2013 and is a “significantly seasoned Vatican mediator,” Petterden stated.
” He’s obtained all the appropriate qualifications. The inquiry is whether the majority of the cardinals desire that or otherwise,” Pattenden stated.
Cristina Traina, spiritual research studies teacher at New york city’s Fordham College, stated Parolin is somebody that is “amazingly versed in the interior operations of the Vatican, however that can count versus him if they have an interest in proceeding Vatican reforms.”
A prospect comparable in “charm and focus on pastoral objective” to Francis is Tagle, that was assigned by Pope Benedict as the archbishop of Manila in 2011, Pattenden stated.

Cardinal Luis Tagle grins as he pays attention press reporters inquiries throughout an interview on the Assembly at the Vatican, Oct. 23, 2018.
Alessandra Tarantino/AP
” His drawback is that he might be a little young, he’s just 67,” Pattenden stated. “It’s unclear that he has the appropriate type of management experience. If the cardinals are searching for somebody to consistent the ship and to ensure that the Vatican remains in order, perhaps they desire another person.”
Although Francis “raised a great deal of cardinals with usually dynamic sights” and “it would certainly be relatively automated they would certainly select among their very own, somebody in Francis’ picture,” Pattenden stated there are still traditional prospects that can get acknowledgment, consisting of Hungarian Cardinal Peter Erdo, Ghanaian Cardinal Peter Turkson and Guinean Cardinal Robert Sarah.

Hungarian Cardinal Peter Erdo is talked to by The Associated Press, in Budapest, April 20, 2023.
Denes Erdos/AP
If the “much more noticeable front-runners do not regulate bulk allure” throughout the option procedure, Pattenden stated European moderates, consisting of Archbishop of Bologna Matteo Zuppi, Archbishop of Marseille Jean-Marc Aveline and Archbishop of Malta Mario Grech, can likewise possibly get agreement amongst the conclave.

Cardinal Robert Sarah, prefect of the Churchgoers for Divine Praise and the Technique of the Sacraments, shows up for the discussion of Cardinal Raymond Leo Burke’s publication Divine Love Made Flesh, in Rome, Oct. 14, 2015.
Andrew Medichini/AP
No Matter that the follower will certainly be, Traina informed ABC Information the brand-new papacy will certainly differ from Francis’, because very few prospects hold his position of being pastorally dynamic yet theologically traditional.
The only 2 that Traina stated appear like Francis’ method would certainly be Canadian Cardinal Marc Ouelett or Dutch Cardinal Willem Eijk.

Canadian Cardinal Marc Ouellet goes to a Mass inside St. Peter’s Basilica, at the Vatican, March 12, 2013.
Andrew Medichini/AP
” Followers have various abilities than their precursors, which’s not since individuals are denying the precursor abilities,” Traina stated. “It would not be unusual for there to be a modification, the inquiry is, which instructions?”
ABC Information’ Phoebe Natanson added to this record.